๐ An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China.
Responding to an outbreak of a novel coronavirus (agent of COVID-19) in December 2019, China banned travel to and from Wuhan city on 23 January and implemented a national emergency response. We investigated the spread and control of COVID-19 using a unique data set including case reports, human movement and public health interventions. The Wuhan shutdown was associated with the delayed arrival of COVID-19 in other cities by 2.91 days (95%CI: 2.54-3.29). Cities that implemented control measures pre-emptively reported fewer cases, on average, in the first week of their outbreaks (13.0; 7.1-18.8) compared with cities that started control later (20.6; 14.5-26.8). Suspending intra-city public transport, closing entertainment venues and banning public gatherings were associated with reductions in case incidence. The national emergency response appears to have delayed the growth and limited the size of the COVID-19 epidemic in China, averting hundreds of thousands of cases by 19 February (day 50).
author
๐ค Tian, Huaiyu
๐ค Liu, Yonghong
๐ค Li, Yidan
๐ค Wu, Chieh-Hsi
๐ค Chen, Bin
๐ค Kraemer, Moritz U G
๐ค Li, Bingying
๐ค Cai, Jun
๐ค Xu, Bo
๐ค Yang, Qiqi
๐ค Wang, Ben
๐ค Yang, Peng
๐ค Cui, Yujun
๐ค Song, Yimeng
๐ค Zheng, Pai
๐ค Wang, Quanyi
๐ค Bjornstad, Ottar N
๐ค Yang, Ruifu
๐ค Grenfell, Bryan T
๐ค Pybus, Oliver G
๐ค Dye, Christopher
year
โฐ 2020
journal
๐ Science
issn
๐
volume
number
page
citedbycount
0
download
๐ [BibTeX]